Counterterrorism Blog

London's Emerging Africa Ties

By Douglas Farah

A prime suspect in the July 21 London bombing is arrested in Zambia, after having earlier spent time in South Africa. He reportedly entered Zambia through Zimbabwe. Two other suspects are originally from East Africa. Seems like a disturbing pattern, again highlighting the growing role of Sub-Saharan Africa in al Qaeda's emphasis and infrastructure.

The passage of Haroon Rashid Aswat through Zimbabwe should be of particular concern. The regime of Robert Mugabe is the successor to the regime of Charles Taylor in Liberia, and is rapidly becoming a functioning criminal enterprise that gives support and shelter to a range of international criminal organizations. If there is one state that is ideal for harboring al Qaeda, like Liberia before it, it is Zimbabwe, for all the same reasons: the ability of the regime to control entry and exist points, access to government perks such as diplmatic passports, protection by the security forces, and the other reasons failed states with authoritarian regimes attract these groups.

As in Liberia, it is a serious mistake to think Mugabe (or Taylor) has any ideological or religious affinity with al Qaeda or anyone else. They deal with al Qaeda for money, to get back at the outside world (particularly the United States) and because they can. One of the major misunderstandings of the FBI and CIA in the Liberia case was their thinking and telling me and others that a Taylor-al Qaeda convergence was impossible because Taylor was a Christian. Perhaps in the loosest possible way, but he was primarily about money, not religion. I hope the same mis-analysis is not being applied in Zimbabwe. For the complete blog, go here.