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The Muslim Brotherhood and Islamic law in Europe
By Lorenzo Vidino
Over the last few days various contributors to the CT Blog have debated the real aims of the Muslim Brotherhood, especially in the West. Another indication of what the Ikhwan really want came just a few days ago from Sweden, where the country’s largest Muslim organization, the Brotherhood-linked Sveriges Muslimska Förbund (SMF), published a serious of demands addressed to all Swedish political parties (note the text-in Swedish only- “we demand,” not “we ask” or “we suggest”). Among its many demands, SMF stated Swedish Muslims should be given time off work for Friday prayers and Islamic holidays and that imams should approve all divorces between Muslim couples. Basically, SMF is asking for a partial introduction of sharia law in Sweden and the creation of a separate legal system for Swedish Muslim, something politicians from all sides of the Swedish political spectrum and moderate Muslim organizations have immediately condemned as completely unacceptable.
The Swedish case is hardly unique, but mirrors the demand of Brotherhood-linked organizations throughout Europe. For example, in Germany, the Islamische Gemeinschaft Deutschland (IGD), the country’s largest Muslim organization, has stated in its official publication Al Islam (here, page 48): “In the long run, Muslims cannot be satisfied with the acceptance of German family, estate, and trial law. … Muslims should aim at an agreement between the Muslims and the German state with the goal of a separate jurisdiction for Muslims.” In Great Britain, the UK Islamic Mission, has the stated goal of conducting a “continuous campaign for the establishment of Muslim family laws,” and to “establish Islamic social order in the United Kingdom in order to seek the pleasure of Allah.”
The Ikhwan organizations of Europe follow the teachings of Sheik Yusuf al Qaradawi, who outlined the methods that these organizations should follow in order to achieve their goal of establishing sharia in Europe in his book Priorities of the Islamic Movement in the Coming Phase. In spite of the European Brothers’ pro-integration public declarations, Qaradawi urges them: “Try to have your small society within the larger society…Try to have your own ‘Muslim ghetto.’” Qaradawi clearly sees the role that the Ikhwan organizations would play in creating these separated Muslim communities, running the mosques, schools, and civic organizations that will shape the daily life of the desired “Non-territorial Islamic States in Europe,” as Reuven Paz calls them. Qaradawi also suggests that sharia law should govern the relations among inhabitants of these Muslim islands, affirming that Muslim minorities “should also have amongst them their own ulema and men of religion to answer their questions when they ask them, guide them when they lose the way and reconcile them when they differ among themselves.”
Unlike the Salafis, the Brothers use a cunning double-talk when dealing with Western elites, advocating integration and dialogue. Yet the plans of the two movements, two different faces of the same coin, are eerily similar. Abu Qatada, al Qaeda’s “ambassador” to Europe was clear about the mujaheddins’ goal: “Muslims’ target is the West. We will split Rome open. The destruction must be carried out by sword. Those who will destroy Rome are already preparing the swords. Rome will not be conquered with the word but with the force of arms.” This is how Qaradawi sees the same issue: “Islam will return to Europe as a conqueror and victor, after being expelled from it twice…I maintain that the conquest this time will not be by the sword but by preaching and ideology.” Different methods, but same goal. Are we sure the U.S. government should use the Brothers as partners in the dialogue with the Muslim world?
Steven Emerson: Iran Capable of Terrorist Attacks in U.S. Anytime
By Andrew Cochran
Steven Emerson discusssed the new Ayman al-Zawahri video tape and the Iranian danger yesterday on MSNBC. You can see the interview on the Investigative Project of Terrorism website. Here is the transcript:
ALEX WITT: Let’s get perspective on this from terrorism analyst Steve Emerson. Good morning you to, Steve.
STEVEN EMERSON: Good morning, Alex.
WITT: True? Is that true? Have they broken the back of the American military, the U.S. military over there, these suicide bombings?
EMERSON: I think that is more wishful thinking than actual fact. Certainly the insurgency and the suicide bombings have hurt, but I don’t think it has broken the back, no.
WITT: Okay. What about three messages in one week? Any kind of significance or concern to that?
EMERSON: No. It has sort of been the trifecta of Al Qaeda this week. I would say to you that the fact that they all felt emboldened to issue videotaped messages indicates that they feel secure in their environment right now and they are trying to rally the masses and probably trying to instigate immediate attacks against the United States and western forces.
WITT: So to that end then, Steve, have these messages generated any kind of chatter that could possibly point to a terror threat to the U.S.?
EMERSON: I am not aware of any chatter. Of course, intelligence might have picked that up. But at this point, they have basically been very protective in how they get their messages out and they don’t usually create the same type of chatter that might have been used or created two years ago when they were more careless about how they communicated with one another.
WITT: So then what is your sense? I mean just your gut reaction. You know this world pretty well. Do you think they are increasing chatter among themselves or do you think that maybe the inspiration particularly from Osama Bin Laden just isn’t all that pertinent to what they do on a day to day basis?
EMERSON: It is too soon to tell. Remember, the bombings in the Sinai occurred one day after the Bin Laden tape. Of course that took months to plan, but the timing may have been linked- and I emphasize, may have been linked- to the tape itself. I think that these are really rallying cries. They are encouragements. They are basically saying, “This is a green light. Go ahead and attack,” and we will see in the next few weeks whether in fact they have had an effect.
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WITT: You mentioned that the reason they may be able to release these tapes right now is because they feel secure in their environment. How is it then that you think they’re getting the information that they are getting, so specific, about what is going on in the world?
EMERSON: Well, they obviously have Internet access, and with Internet access basically able to be carried out around the world, they are constantly reading wire service reports. They are getting television stations. They are keeping abreast, as Bin Laden showed in his tape, of every single act by the U.S. government. They have been doing this for years. They have got their own intelligence center that basically rivals that of agencies.
WITT: Okay. Let’s move on to things in Iran right now. We know the latest developments. The U.N. yesterday, the watchdog there, the IAEA, saying Iran has defied the orders to freeze its uranium enrichment program. How close is Iran, do you think, to making a nuclear bomb?
EMERSON: That was a frightening report and it lays the groundwork for potential sanctions against Iran. It basically states that we are simply totally in the dark about the level of how much uranium Iran now is enriching. We know that they have produced low grade uranium and there are also suggestions they have acquired plutonium. That would indicate that they could be as close as six months to a year away. No one really knows exactly how far away because it is cloaked in such secrecy, Alex, and there have been ranges in U.S. intelligence agencies, from one year to ten years. That is a wide range that really gives us very, very little encouragement about the degree of specificity of our intelligence.
WITT: You know, Iranian president, Mahmud Ahmadinejad, he has threatened terror attacks if the U.N. imposes sanctions. How worried are you that he would carry that out?
EMERSON: I think we have to take him at his word. Iran has carried out terrorist attacks outside its borders for more than 20 years. In 1994, Hezbollah, its surrogate, bombed the Jewish Community Center in Buenos Aires. Iranian dissidents have been killed in Europe. And in 2004, the Iranian diplomatic guards, taking videos of landmarks and bridges in New York, were expelled. They have the capability of carrying out attacks.
WITT: So does that mean that Iran has people in this country that would be capable of carrying out attacks?
EMERSON: I believe they do. They certainly have the capability, and they have demonstrated that, of carrying out reconnaissance, videos, photographing, as well as all reports they communicated back to Tehran for the contingency of carrying out attacks. And they have other terrorist groups that I believe would be willing to assist them as surrogates.
WITT: Okay. MSNBC terrorism analyst, as always, we appreciate your candor. Steve Emerson, thank you so much. « Close It
...Especially Given BoNY's History in Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing
By Andrew Cochran
The Bank of New York's activities on behalf of LeT and IKK, as discussed in Evan Kohlmann's post, are inexplicable in light of its history of involvement with Russian money launderers and the Arab Bank. Just nine days ago, BoNY admitted to continued insufficient controls over money laundering, in violation of a 2000 agreement with the Federal Reserve and State of New York, arising from a celebrated Russian money laundering scheme. That agreement cost it $38 million in penalties. BoNY (along with other major NYC banks) has recently been pressured by the Treasury Department to cut certain corrrespondent banking ties, especially since Hamas on the PA elections, and BoNY ended a long-standing relationship with the Arab Bank after that bank was fined for funneling deposits to terrorists and closed its NYC office.
I'm mystified that an institution with BoNY's history would repeatedly jeopardize its reputation this way.
Why is the Bank of New York Collecting Donations for a Designated Foreign Terrorist Organization?
By Evan Kohlmann
As my colleague Victor Comras has written about below, this week, the U.S. State Department finally took the step of naming the Pakistani organizations Jamaat-ud-Dawa and Idara al-Khidmat-e-Khalq (IKK) as banned derivatives of the Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) entity known as Lashkar-e-Taiba (LET). Last January, the Danish Institute of International Studies published a paper I wrote on the role of Islamic charitable groups in terrorist financing--including a lengthy discussion of LET, Jamaat-ud-Dawa and IKK. These organizations have a militantly anti-American agenda--and according to the U.S. Defense Department--provided direct assistance to Al-Qaida members fleeing Afghanistan in 2001.
Americans might be surprised to learn that--all along--the IKK has been collecting donations from inside the U.S. via the Wall Street branch of the Bank of New York (only steps away from the former site of the World Trade Center). The IKK's website advertised this arrangement openly in English: "FOR TRANSFER OF FUNDS IN US DOLLARS... Please transfer the amount on the routing as follows: To: THE BANK OF NEW YORK. ONE WALL STREET, NEW YORK. NY 10286, USA." Any funds collected by the Bank of New York were then routed on to an "Islamic Banking Account" held at Bank Alfalah Limited in Karachi, Pakistan. For IKK donors in Europe, a corresponding Euro routing system was also established, care of "Bayerische Hypo – und Veriensbank AG" in Munich, Germany.
It remains to be seen whether the Bank of New York will finally close up shop in its dealings with Lashkar-e-Taiba as a result of the latest State Department designation. This case is a reminder that interdicting international terrorist financing remains a major ongoing challenge for U.S. banking institutions and regulators.
Al Qaida targeting Fatah leaders?
By Olivier Guitta
Further confirmation of Al Qaida's expansion in Gaza which I talked about here, here and here, can be seen through the newly released fatwa of Al Tawhid and Jihad in Syria and Palestine, first reported by the Islamist paper Al Quds Al Arabi.
This group which pledges allegiance to Abu Mussab Al Zarqawi, and presents itself as the Al Qaida branch in Syria( i.e Syria and Lebanon) and Palestine, just issued its first fatwa. It calls for the slaughtering of some Fatah apostates including Mohamed Dahlan and Yasser Abed Rabbo. The Jerusalem Post confirmed today that leaflets with this fatwa were distributed in Gaza.
Dahlan in particular is taking these threats seriously and implied that Hamas might be behind this. Hamas of course denied. What is sure is that since Israel left Gaza last summer, Gaza has become a haven and heaven for terrorists of all kinds.
Pakistan Charity Jamaat-Ud-Dawa Added to Global Terrorist List, But Not Its Leaders
By Victor Comras
Last November American soldiers were working along side members of the Pakistan Charity Jamaat-Ud-Dawa to provide needed relief to the victims of the Pakistan/India earthquake. I wrote a blog at that time describing the role Jamaat was playing in this relief effort and their success in implanting themselves in the devastated regions. It was clear then that Jamaat was closely linked to Lashkar-e-Taiba (aka Lashkar E-Tayyiba), an entity designated by the United Nations Al Qaeda and Taliban Sanctions Committee, and the US Treasury for its support of al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations. In fact, Jamaat was established by the same group that led Lashkar-e-Taiba in order to circumvent the sanctions measures that flowed from this designation. Yet, it took the Administration another six months to get around to confirming this linkage and to designating Jamaat as a successor/partner organization to Lashkar-e-taiba.
The State Department issued its notice of designation on April 27th, 2006 pursuant to Executive Order 13224 which blocks all property, and interests in property, of Jamaat-Ud-Dawa and another linked organzation, Idara Khidmat-e-Khalq, that are in the United States or the under the control of U.S. persons. Perhaps one reason for this delay was to allow Jamaat to carry out its important relief activities through the winter months. Cutting them off during this period of disaster relief might have proved counter-productive. But what is still surprising is that no action has yet been taken to designate Lashkar's founder, Hafiz Muhammad Sayeed, who is also the head of Jamaat ud-Dawa. As I pointed out in an earlier blog, holding the leaders responsible, and penalizing them, is even more important and would be a much more effective step then seeking only to close down the charities they run. Experience has shown that you can’t truly shut down these operations unless you also put their leaders and organizers out of business.
Lashkar-e-Taiba was founded in 1989 in the Kunar province of Afghanistan as the military wing of Markaz-ud-Dawa-wal-Irshad (MDI), an Islamic fundamentalist organisation of the Ahle-Hadith sect in Pakistan. The MDI is based in Muridke near Lahore, Pakistan and is headed by Prof. Hafiz Muhammad Sayeed, who is also the Amir of the LeT. Its first presence in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) was recorded in 1993 when 12 Pakistani and Afghan mercenaries infiltrated across the Line of Control (LoC) in tandem with the Islami Inquilabi Mahaz, a terrorist outfit then active in the Poonch district of J&K. Lashkar has established cooperative ties with religious militant groups throughout the middle east, southeast asia and in areas of the former soviet union. It is believed to have also been active in supporting the insurgency in Chechnya. The organization was designated as a terrorist group by the US Treasury Department in December 2001.. However, Pakistan, then a member of the UN Al Qaeda and Taliban Sanctions Committee was able to forestall a UN decision to also designate the group. Lashkar was finally added to the UN’s consolidated al Qaeda designation list on May 2, 2005, after Pakistan’s tenure on the Al Qaeda Committee had ended.
Zawahiri Tape Transcript: "To the People of Pakistan"
By Evan Kohlmann
Perhaps the most interesting part of Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri's newly-released video recording comes early in the introduction: a claim that Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's Al-Qaida faction has executed no less than 800 suicide bombing attacks in Iraq over the last three years. The complete English transcript is below:
Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri - "To the People of Pakistan" - April 2006
"...Muslim brothers everywhere: peace be upon you and the mercy of Allah and His blessings. The first thing that I want to talk to you about is the third anniversary of the American invasion of Iraq. We praise Allah that three years after the Crusader invasion of Iraq, America, Britain and their allies have achieved nothing but losses, disasters and misfortunes. They have become embroiled in Iraq in an unenviable way, despite Bush and Blair's continuous lying. And these losses and misfortunes only happened with the sacrifices of the Mujahideen and their enthusiasm for death in Allah's path. The group Qaida al-Jihad in the Land of the Two Rivers alone has carried out 800 martyrdom operations in 3 years, besides the sacrifices of the other Mujahideen, and this is what has broken the back of America in Iraq..."
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"...The sacrifices of the heroic Mujahideen have also exposed the total inconsistency of Western doctrine, and perhaps this moral and material defeat of the Western Crusade will motivate the West to review its ideological system in its entirety, if it desires the facts or hopes for salvation."
"And just as the heroic Mujahideen's sacrifices have defeated the Crusader alliance morally and materially, they have also exposed the faction of traitors falsely associated with the Muslims, these traitors who made pacts with the Crusaders before, during and after the invasion, and prevented the Jihad against the occupation, and helped to establish it in Iraq, and promised it that they will be loyal guards of its interests after it leaves; they are traitors, even if they dress like the Muslims or have the same names; they are traitors, even if their beards are long and turbans great; they are traitors, even if they claim noble descent or a connection with the unseen or any other kind of charlatanism and superstition; they are traitors, and Allah, and His Messenger, and his righteous Companions, and pure People of his House, and the Islamic Ummah are innocent of them one and all. How can they claim affiliation to Islam when the Lord of Glory has given a verdict about them in His Book, saying, 'O ye who believe! Take not the Jews and the Christians for your friends and protectors: they are but friends and protectors to each other. And he amongst you that turns to them (for friendship) is of them. Verily, Allah guideth not a people unjust.' Al-Maidah 5:51"
"Those who are in Iraq, and those affiliated to the clan of Hashim in Jordan, and their peers on the Arabian Peninsula, those who permit the recognition of Israel and making peace with it, and those like them in Egypt, who help France against the veiled Muslim women and receive the Israeli ambassador in noble al-Azhar and hand over Wafa Qistintin for torture in the dungeons of the monasteries: all of them are traitors, and the Muslim Ummah must confront them, lest they stab it from behind while it is exposing its chest to the rockets and bullets of the enemies."
"As for the second thing I wish to talk to you about, it is the dark fate towards which the traitor Musharraf is pushing Pakistan. Without a doubt, Pakistan is one of the most important of the countries targeted by this new colonialist Crusade which seeks to weaken Pakistan and fragment it into entities under the control of India, which is allied with the Americans and Jews."
"And here I wish to clarify an extremely important point, which is that the anti-Islamic American/Crusader/Zionist plan has no place for the presence of Pakistan as a strong, powerful, able state in South Asia, because this plan doesn't forgive Pakistan for separating from India in the name of Islam, and doesn't forgive it for including the largest Islamic schools with wide influence among the Muslims of South and Central Asia, and doesn't forgive it for the flourishing of the popular Jihadi movements in it against the Indians in Kashmir and first the Russians and then the Americans in Afghanistan, and doesn't forgive it the favorable response of its people, scholars, students, Mujahideen and tribes to the Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan – since its founding and to this very day – and to its Amir the lion of Islam Mulla Muhammad Umar, may Allah protect him, and doesn't forgive it its overwhelming public sympathy for the call of Shaykh Usama bin Ladin for Jihad to expel the Americans and Jews from the holy places of the Muslims and their homes."
"In this context, India appears to be the best candidate to implement the Zionist/Crusader plan to humiliate Pakistan and weaken it and tear it apart. And Bush's recent visit to Pakistan at the beginning of March was one of the biggest pieces of evidence of that, as he gave a strong push to India's nuclear program while handing out orders and instructions in Pakistan. And I will review with you in brief just a few of the many woes and misfortunes which Musharraf and his supporters have brought upon Pakistan."
"The first of these woes is Musharraf's combating of Islam in Pakistan. With an order from the Crusaders, he provided all the backing needed to expel the Islamic Emirate from Kabul. And he has made war on the Islamic schools, and is seeking to review the Hudood Act, in addition to inventing – with Crusader guidance – a new Qadiani creed which invites the people to an Islam without Jihad and without enjoining of good and prohibition of evil and without observation of the rules of the Shari'ah, which he calls 'Enlightened Moderation.'"
"The second of these woes is Musharraf's threat to Pakistani national security. Musharraf was the primary backer of the ouster of the Islamic Emirate from Kabul, and was the primary reason for the establishment of a government in Kabul allied to America and India and hostile to Pakistan. And as a result of Musharraf's betrayal, Indian intelligence has crept close to the Pakistan-Afghan border and opened its consulates in the cities adjacent to Pakistan. And the Pakistani Army, with the exit of the Taliban government from Kabul, became a double loser: first, the Pakistani Army lost the strategic depth which Afghanistan, with its highlands and mountains, can offer it in any Pakistani-Indian confrontation. And second, the Pakistani Army's back became exposed to a regime hostile to it and allied with its enemies. And if you add to this India's success in exploiting air bases in Tajikistan and its seeking military cooperation with the Central Asian states, you will realize the extent of the predicament which the Pakistani Army has gotten itself into."
"And Musharraf is the one who placed the Pakistani nuclear program under American – and hence Jewish and Indian – supervision. Musharraf exploited America's accusation of Abdul Qadeer Khan to impose its surveillance upon the Pakistani nuclear program. And then is it credible that Abdul Qadeer Khan was outside the surveillance of Pakistani military intelligence? Thus, the first ones who should be brought to trial in the case of Abdul Qadeer Khan are the leaders of the Pakistani Army and intelligence. But Abdul Qadeer Khan was used as a scapegoat to please America."
"And Musharraf is the one who is fanning the flames of civil war in Pakistan on behalf of America, in Waziristan and Baluchistan, in a bloody conflict whose losses have no end, and which will only rebound on Pakistan with the worst of damages. The worst thing any army in the world could wish for is that it be assigned to defend the borders of its country at a time when it is embroiled in an internal civil war. Pakistani memory has yet to forget the catastrophe caused by the civil war in East Pakistan. And what Musharraf has done in Bajaur, Waziristan and Baluchistan, he will repeat in Karachi, Lahore and Peshawar, and indeed, any place the Americans request him to strike."
"And Musharraf is the one who is seeking to change the combat doctrine of the Pakistani Army by repeating that the real danger to Pakistan is from within and not foreign: i.e., he is inciting the Pakistani Army to fight its people and brothers and turn a blind eye to the Indian threat. And if the combat doctrine of any army becomes corrupted, and its fighting turns into fighting for the sake of salary and position alone, then this army will run away from the battlefield whenever fighting breaks out."
"And how is it possible for the Pakistani officer or soldier to be persuaded that he is defending Islam when he is the one who enabled the Americans to kill tens of thousands of Muslims in Afghanistan, and enabled them to oust the Islamic Emirate from Kabul? And how is it possible for the Pakistani officer or soldier to be persuaded that he is defending the sanctity of Pakistanis when his commanders order him to kill women and children in his own country? And how is it possible for the Pakistani officer or soldier to be persuaded that he is defending the honor and dignity of Pakistan when he sees his leaders order him to carry out a new slaughter every time they are visited by a high-ranking American official?"
"The third of these woes is Musharraf's squandering of the issue of Kashmir and his painstaking effort to dispose of it at any cost. Musharraf is the one who strangled the Jihadi resistance against India, which led it to increase its savagery and draw up the borders. And Musharraf is the one who made and continues to make one concession after another in the Kashmir issue, even as India hasn't budged one step from its stance. And Musharraf is the one who seeks to deceive the Muslim Ummah in Pakistan by pretending to them that the problem with India will be resolved with confidence-building measures, in order to neutralize the effort to liberate Kashmir, which is the real problem between Pakistan and India."
"And Musharraf is the one who wars against the Arab Mujahideen and their brothers from all corners of the Islamic world, who represent one of the most important weapons in the liberation of Kashmir, in the same way that they contributed before to the liberation of Afghanistan from the Russians."
"And Musharraf is the one who brought American military and intelligence forces to Kashmir under the pretext of helping the victims of the earthquake. They came in under this cover and commenced to strengthen their defenses and fortifications in order to establish permanent Crusader bases on the Pakistani-Indian border."
"The fourth of these woes is Musharraf's recognition of Israel, to psychologically prepare the Pakistanis to recognize a Hindu state in Kashmir."
"The fifth of these woes is his affront to Pakistani dignity and sovereignty when he gave free reign to American intelligence and investigative agencies in Pakistan, and turned Pakistan's army and security services into hunting dogs at the service of the Crusaders."
"The sixth of these woes is his corruption of political life in Pakistan. Through bribery and election fraud, Musharraf declared himself president and formed a party of bribe-takers and opportunists which he provided with a parliamentary majority, and distributed to them and the rest of his supporters the country's treasures, which he had seized, even though he is the same one who claimed at the beginning of his rule that he came to combat fiscal corruption in Pakistan."
"And the West, which claims to defend democracy, was hostile to Musharraf at the outset of his rule, but later did a U-turn in admiration of him and his treachery, and indeed, today encourages him to stay in power at any means, after he demonstrated his aptitude for killing Muslims. Musharraf's real problem is bribery. And Musharraf reckons that his success in procuring wealth will only be achieved by betraying Pakistan and appeasing America and throwing himself at its feet. But he forgets the other half of the reality, which is that America tosses its agents into the rubbish bin when there is no longer any need for them. And were he to look across his western borders, he would see the fate of the Shah bearing witness to that, when they ordered him to leave Iran, and then deprived him of asylum and indeed, even medical treatment, which he only found with his friend the bribe-taker Anwar Sadat."
"And in keeping with Musharraf's worship of wealth and his mad dash for bribes, he tries to persuade the Pakistani people that they must take care of their interests without paying attention to any moral or religious considerations. This is the same logic of drug dealers, white slavery gangs, spies and traitors, and the outcome of this attitude is the loss of this world and the next. Allah the Exalted says, 'Satan threatens you with poverty and bids you to immorality, while Allah promises you His forgiveness and bounties, and Allah cares for all and He knows all things.' Al-Baqarah 2:268"
"I address the Pakistani people, to call on them to stand today in the ranks of Islam against the Zionist/Crusader assault on the Islamic Ummah and on Pakistan, and I call on them to strive in earnest to topple this bribe-taking, treacherous criminal, and to back their brothers the Mujahideen in Afghanistan with everything they've got until they defeat the plan of the Crusaders and Zionists allied with India."
"I also call the Pakistani Army's attention to the dismal fate which awaits them in this life and the other, for the Pakistan Army has turned into forces aligned under Bush's cross in his Crusade against Islam and Muslims, just as it has become a tool in the destruction and tearing apart of Pakistan. Let every soldier and officer in the Pakistani Army know that Allah has threatened anyone who allies himself with the infidels against the Muslims with a painful punishment. Allah the Exalted says, 'To the hypocrites give the good tidings that there is for them a grievous chastisement; those who take for friends unbelievers rather than believers: is it honor they seek among them? Nay, all honor is with Allah.' Al-Nisa 4:138-139"
"And let every soldier and officer in the Pakistani Army know that Musharraf is throwing them into the burner of civil war in exchange for the bribes which he took from the Americans, and that he doesn't care if 10,000 or 20,000 Pakistani troops are killed, as long as his pockets are full of bribes. And let them know that Musharraf has made preparations to flee abroad – where he has his secret accounts – upon the victory of the popular revolution."
"For this reason, I call upon every officer and soldier in the Pakistani army to disobey the orders of his commanders to kill Muslims in Pakistan and Afghanistan, or otherwise he will be confronted by the Mujahideen who repelled the British and Russians before. The Truth – Exalted is He – says, 'Say to those who have disbelieved, if they cease (from disbelief), their past will be forgiven. But if they return (thereto), then the examples of those (punished) before them have already preceded (as a warning). And fight them until there is no more fitnah (disbelief and polytheism) and the religion will all be for Allah alone (in the whole of the world) But if they cease (worshipping others besides Allah), then certainly, Allah is All-Seer of what they do. And if they turn away, then know that Allah is your Maula (Patron, Lord, Protector and Supporter) – (what) an excellent Maula, and (what) an Excellent Helper.' Al-Anfal 8:38-39" « Close It
Zarqawi and Task Force 145
By Bill Roggio
The Army Times' Sean Naylor has a fascinating article on Task Force 145, which has replaced Task Force 626 and 121, and the hunt for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, which I have summarized below:
- Zarqawi was nearly captured in Yusufiyah by Special Operations Forces nine days prior to the release of his videotape. Segments of the Zarqawi's newly released video were uncovered, and Mr. Naylor intimates the insurgent preparing to fire a rocket and was subsequently killed by small arms fire (or more likely sniper fire) was preparing to fire a MANPADS surface-to-air missile.
- TF-145 is comprised of Army Delta Operators, Navy SEALs, U.S. Army Rangers, the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment, the Air Force’s 24th Special Tactics Squadron, British Special Air Service, and British paratroopers. Left out are the myriad of intelligence assets likely assigned to TF-145. TF-145 is split up into four regional commands: West, North, South and Black.
- “The O-5 [Lieutenant Colonel] commander of each task force can authorize a raid without seeking TF 145 approval.” Operational tempo is high with over one raid per day being conducted per command, sometimes even higher.
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- The article provides extensive details on the near capture of Zarqawi in February of 2005. Zarqawi was able to barrel through a check point as Rangers were unable to fire due to the strict Rules of Engagement (ROE).
- “Zarqawi has become a higher priority for JSOC than capturing al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden and his right-hand man, Ayman al-Zawahiri...” “Who’s the biggest threat right now?” the source said. “In military terms, bin Laden has been neutralized. He’s not going anywhere. He can’t really move. His communications are shallow. … Zarqawi is a bigger threat.”
- TF-145 believes it has eviscerated Zarqawi's network of foreign commanders, and Zarqawi now relies on Iraqis to provide the leadership. “The foreign terrorists still coming into Iraq from Syria, he said, 'are suicide bombers only … ‘Muslims on Spring Break.’ They come in through Syria, get a week of training — ‘Here, this is an RPG’ — come down and strap a bomb on them.'”
- Zarqawi's plan is to field an army capable of conventional operations and geared to “launch coordinated attacks against major coalition facilities.”
- Zarqawi is operating training camps in Syria and Iran, with the knowledge of these governments. Hezbollah is providing operational training. “JSOC knew of insurgent training camps in both Syria and Iran that TF 145 could hit, the source said, but “politics” had kept the task force from launching cross-border missions.”
- Zarqawi is viewed as a skilled tactical and operational commander, who is willing to take risks and leaders from the front.
- Lieutenant General Stan McChrystal, the Joint Special Operations Commander, is quoted as saying “We must increasingly be a force of totally focused counter-terrorists.”
Quick observations:
The rules of engagement seem to have been relaxed in the hunt for Zarqawi, as the regional commands have greater flexibility in conducting raids and no longer seek approval from high command. The risk averse military lawyers may have been pushed aside as the operational need to kill or capture Zarqawi and senior al-Qaeda in Iraq has taken precedence over legal niceties.
The training in Syria and Iran further dispels the myth that Shiite and Sunni terrorist groups, and secular governments and Islamist terrorists could never work together.
There is evidence that Zarqawi may already be fielding conventional combat units. The recent large scale assaults on an Army headquarters in Baqubah, and on police stations in Miqdadniyah, Madain and Haswa look to be conventional al-Qaeda perations. al-Qaeda in Iraq also conduct ed large scale assualts against Camp Gannon and Abu Ghraib in the spring 2005. Only the Miqdadniyah assault was successful, and the rest of the attacks cause high attrition rates for the al-Qaeda assault element. Each attack was a successful propaganda operation, however. « Close It
Kenneth Conboy Joins Us As a Contributing Expert
By Andrew Cochran
Kenneth Conboy, nothed author, expert on Southeast Asian terrorism, and Country Manager for Risk Management Advisory in Indonesia, joins us today as a Contributing Expert. Mr. Conboy is responsible for all Indonesian operations for RMA Indonesia, in which capacity he manages risk and security management projects and confidential investigations spanning Indonesia and neighboring countries. Prior to moving to RMA Indonesia, he was Southeast Asian policy analyst and Deputy Director for the Asian Studies Center in Washington, DC, and wrote research papers for the U.S. Congress on U.S. security and economic relations with the countries of Southeast Asia.
Mr. Conboy is the author of 15 books on Southeast Asia and intelligence operations, including The Second Front: Inside Asia’s Most Dangerous Terrorist Network about Jemaah Islamiyah, just released. He has had numerous articles published in such newspapers as "The Wall Street Journal," "The Asian Wall Street Journal" and "The Washington Times." He has been frequently quoted in dozens of news outlets around the world, including "The New York Times," the Associated Press, and CNN.
Links to New State Department Terrorism Report and Tape Transcripts Now in "CT Library"
By Andrew Cochran
One of the features we offered when we opened in January 2005 is a "Counterterrorism Library" with important laws, studies, primary source documents, and important releases by our Contributing Experts. Click on the "CT Library" link in the "Navigation" box in the left sidebar to access it. I've now posted the links to (a) the 2005 "Country Reports on Terrorism," released today by the U.S. State Department (see Michael Kraft's post about this); (b) the transcript of the Bin Laden audio tape released April 23, and (c) the transcript of the Zarqawi video tape released April 27.
Sistani Rejects Militias, COIN in Iraq
By Bill Roggio
Resolving Iraq's militia problem has become a high priority for the Iraqi government and the Coalition. The delay in appointing a new government is directly related to the various political party's fear that former Prime Minister Jaafari was too close to Muqtada al-Sadr and his Mahdi Army militia, and would not reform the police forces believed to be infiltrated with militia members. Jawad al-Maliki, the prime minister designate, has vowed to dismantle the militias by integrating them into the security forces. The proof will be in his nominations for the critical posts of Defense and Interior.
Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the senior Shiite leader in Iraq, has also denounced the influence of militias, "Weapons must be in the hands of government security forces that should not be tied to political parties but to the nation... The first task for the government is fighting insecurity and putting an end to the terrorist acts that threaten innocents with death and kidnapping." Colonel Austin Bay reminds us of Sistani's reluctance to interfere in politics, but has had to do so in order to guide the Iraqi political process forward. Most recently he has called for calm after the destruction of the Dome of the Golden Mosque in Samarra and quietly pushed Jaafari to withdraw his nomination for prime minister.
Sadr has so far rejected the calls to disarm, and in an interesting turn of events, the Washington Post's Jonathan Finer reports Sadr "has sent at least two companies, each with about 120 fighters" to the volatile city of Kirkuk. Sadr has no base of support in the city, which is largely dominated by Kurdish dominated units of the Iraqi Army.
While the government works to bring the militias to heel, the Coalition and Iraqi forces continue to conduct counterinsurgency operations in the region in and around Baghdad. Insurgents targeted and killed the sister of Iraqi Vice President Mayson Ahmed Bakir al-Hashimi. Hashimi's brother was killed in Baghdad in mid-April. Iraqi commando forces have killed Hamid al-Takhi, al-Qaeda's commander in Samarra. In Baqubah, the Iraqi Army fended off two major attacks, and killed and captured dozens of insurgents in the ensuing fight. Multinational Forces - Iraq breaks down the fighting:
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The attacks began in southern Baqubah in the afternoon when the Buhriz police station and five police checkpoints were simultaneously attacked with mortar rounds, rocket-propelled grenades and small arms fire. Iraqi Soldiers and police killed 17 AIF and detained 28 responsible for the attacks. One Iraqi Soldier was killed and two were wounded. Four Iraqi police were wounded.
In Dali Abbas, the 3rd Brigade, 5th Iraqi Army Headquarters was reportedly attacked by more than 100 terrorists with mortar rounds, RPGs and small arms fire. The Soldiers returned fire, killing four AIF and detaining 15. Six Iraqi Soldiers died and eight were wounded.
Earlier in the week, twelve insurgents were killed in a raid on a safe house in Yusifiyah. Coalition forces killed five insurgents in a firefight, and seven more after conducting an air strike on the home. According to MNF-Iraq "Every male who was found in the rubble was wearing an AK-47 vest with two loaded magazines and two grenades. The troops also discovered suicide notes on one of the terrorists, body bombs, weapons to include a shoulder-fired rocket and ammunition."
Iraqi soldiers are also conducting independent operations in Anbar province. Iraqi soldiers detained four insurgents in the small town of in Bani Da Har in the Euphrates River Valley. "'I believe that with the progress they are making with us and the (Marines) in the province, these soldiers will be ready to take over their battle space in six to eight months,' said Lt. Col. Owen Lovejoy, senior advisor for 2/2/7’s military transition team." This is the latest operation in a series of independent counterinsurgency operations by the Iraqi troops in Anbar province.
The operations in Iraq are largely done at the squad, platoon and company level, and basically consist of intelligence-based raids, patrols, supply runs, humanitarian assistance - standard counterinsurgency operations [or COIN]. The frequency of the battalion-plus sized offensive operations that were prevalent last year and during the early months of this year are dramatically decreasing. The insurgency continues to probe for weak points in the Iraqi and Coalition defenses, hence the attacks like the most recent attacks in Baqubah. The insurgency is losing politically but is not yet out of the fight. « Close It
Great Propaganda No Substitute for Real Victories
By Andrew Cochran
I agree with Doug Farah that the Al Qaeda propaganda machine is rolling at top speed. But sooner or later, they have to win something in Iraq - anything - and they haven't won anything real in Iraq for a long time. The same people who assert that we didn't have enough boots on the ground to control Iraq from the outset (and I count myself in that crowd) have to apply the same standard of strategic success or failure to Al Qaeda in Iraq and Sunni insurgents. Where are their victories? What do they really control for any length of time? What cities fly their flag? Killing people and blowing up infrastructure are not "victories." Right now, I don't see Zarqawi and the MSC really running anything anywhere in Iraq, they haven't for months, and a fancy tape can't change that military fact. Maybe that's why, as Bill Roggio said, "Zarqawi is shown leading the planning session, but there is no video of him actually leading and conducting a strike." Maybe he can't.
Additionnal info on the potential SDGT working in Congress
By Olivier Guitta
Here is some additionnal info to my post and the article I cowrote with my colleague Ilan Weinglass.
I am posting here a portion of the writeup we transmitted to the US Treasury last month regarding the potential Specially Designated Global Terrorist entity Mustafa Khalfi.
Khalfi is currently working among others for Congressman Jim Mc Dermott, famous for his 2002 Baghdad trip expressing support to Saddam Hussein.
Mustafa Khalfi’s Connections to Terrorism
Purpose of this dossier: To show that Mustafa Khalfi has links to Specially Designated Global Terrorist entities (SDGTs), and should not have been allowed to enter the U.S., let alone work at the US Congress because there is a prima facie indication that he should be designated a SDGT.
Mustafa Khalfi:
· Mustafa Khalfi is the editor of the Moroccan newspaper At-Tajdid, published by a Moroccan Islamist group known as the Mouvement de l’Unicité et de la Réforme (MUR).
· Khalfi is also a member of the Islamist Moroccan Parti de la Justice et du Dévelopement (PJD) .
· Khalfi is currently a Fulbright/American Political Science Association Congressional Fellow.
· As part of his fellowship, Khalfi is serving in Representative Jim McDermott’s (D-WA) Washington, D.C. congressional office.
At-Tajdid’s Connection to Interpal and the Union of Good:
· At-Tajdid has a link to the website of the “Union of Good” .
· Clicking on this link gives a choice of English or Arabic.
· Choosing “English” brings up a page on the Interpal website, stating “If you would like to make a donation click here,” with “click here” linked to http://www.interpal.org/web/101.htm . This statement is printed under the Union of Good logo. This is the only link on the web page.
· Choosing “click here” brings up the donation page of Interpal and apparently the Union of Good as a whole. This page contains the following message:
“IMPORTANT NOTE: Web pages relating to international donations are for individuals themselves to make personal donations to any of the participating charities. Any donation that is made to INTERPAL through this web page is distributed with the knowledge and approval of the other members of the Union for Good directly to the charities in Palestine that are implementing the work creation programmes.
This website is temporarily hosted by INTERPAL, London”
· Interpal is a Specially Designated Global Terrorist entity (SDGT) since August 22, 2003, pursuant to executive order 13224.
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The Union of Good’s Connection to Hamas and Additional SDGTs:
· The Union of Good is allegedly an umbrella organization of Hamas-funding charities established in October 2000 by Sheikh Yusuf Qaradawi, who serves as the group’s president . The Union of Good’s secretary general is Essam Yusuf Mustafa (a/k/a Essam Yusuf or Essam Mustafa), who is also the managing trustee of Interpal.
· At least five SDGTs are constituent organizations of the Union of Good:
o Interpal
o The Al-Aqsa Foundation, Belgium branch
o Comité de Bienfaisance et de Secours aux Palestiniens (CBSP)
o Sanabil al-Aqsa
o The Palestinian Relief Society, Switzerland
The Union of Good’s Connection to the MUR and PJD:
· The Mouvement de l’Unicité et de la Réforme (MUR), the publisher of At-Tajdid, is also a member organization of the Union of Good .
· Dr. Abd Ziyad Al-Mughrabi al-Idrisi, who sits on the consultative council of the MUR, is a PJD parliament member, and also a trustee of the Union of Good.
Conclusion: Links between Mustafa Khalfi, At-Tajdid, the MUR, Interpal and other SDGTs have been clearly established. These findings are not surprising since At-Tajdid, the MUR and the PJD have been the most vocal supporters of Hamas in Morocco for a very long time. « Close It
Zarqawi and bin Laden Tapes Show Growing al Qaeda Propaganda Strength
By Douglas Farah
What is interesting about the new bin Laden and Zarqawi tapes, besides some of the analysis done by my colleagues on the Counterterrorism Blog, is the fact that al Qaeda has grown increasingly adept at getting its propaganda videos quickly enough to be relevant to current events. This is new, and shows increased capacity and increased interest in keeping their message out in front, even it it may hint at internal problems.
Any insurgent/terrorist/guerrilla group that wants to be taken seriously in the broader world must have a medium to reach that world. In El Salvador, the FMLN, one of the most successful of recent insurgent-guerrilla armies had Radio Venceremos, which came on every day for several broadcasts of an hour each. People knew when to tune in and receive the message. The FMLN knew how important that link was and spend blood and treasure to protect the station, improve it and cultivate a loyal following.
In contrast, the FARC in Colombia has had no reach outside its areas of direct control, now mostly the coca-growing regions of the country. In part as a result of this lack of communication, the FARC has made few inroads as a political entity in Colombia. Certainly that is not the whole reason-the wholesale assassination of its political allies has certainly played a role. But the FARC has no method of projecting itself into the broader political debate, it only has violence, and hence is widely reviled.
Al Qaeda, both in bin Laden and Zarqawi, seem to be focusing a great deal of time and resources on staying visible and talking to their followers or potential followers. My full blog is here.
COMING UP: ANNUAL STATE DEPARTMENT TERRORISM REPORT
By Michael Kraft
The State Department will release at mid-day Friday its annual report on global terrorism. The reports have touched off more than their share of controversy in past years but they provide a unique and useful portrait of the international terrorism situation during the previous year.
The “numbers game” – the tally of whether the number of terrorist attacks went up or down tends to dominate the press coverage and interest among those in the counterterrorism field. Advance leaks to the press indicate that the U.S Government terrorism analysts tallied more than 10,000 attacks in 2005, triple the number in 2004.
But to focus on numbers, which actually are contained in a separate companion report expected to be released at the same time, overlooks the more important aspects of the report.
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The State Department report, previously called "Patterns of International Terrorism" but last year renamed "Country Reports on Terrorism," will provide an overview of the world-wide terrorist scene in 2005, including region-by-region descriptions and discussion of the activities of Iran and other terrorist-supporting states. This meets the original intent of the 1998 law that mandated the report, to serve as a handy reference document for members of Congress and staff. As one Congressional staffer involved in drafting the report requirement said, members wanted a report they could pull off the shelf for quick background for meetings and hearings. In preparation for the release of this year’s report, the State Department published a background paper.
Points to look for in the report for 2005 include the characterization of the al-Qaeda movement, the reporting of the terrorist attacks in Iraq against non-combatants (attacks on soldiers in combat are not counted) and the depiction of Iran, which in past years has been labeled as the leading state supporter of terrorism. Also, the efforts by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries to curb terrorism financing.
Do not expect to see Libya removed from the terrorism list at this time. Henry Crumpton, the State Department Coordinator for Counterterrorism, has been reported as saying there would be no change in the current list, which includes Iran, Libya, Syria, Sudan, Cuba and North Korea. Removal of a country, however, need not be pegged to the annual report.
(It requires a Presidential determination that a country has not supported acts of international terrorism for the past six months, and has given assurances it will not support terrorism in the future. The determination can be made at any time in the year but the recession has to lie before Congress for 45 days before it can take effect. This gives Congress to react if it so chooses, by passing legislation to oppose the move.)
THE NUMBERS
A separate report by the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) will provide the statistics. Even though the numbers are reported, originally by the Knight Ridder Newspaper chain, to have gone up sharply, they do not tell the whole story.
For years, the incidents included in the State Department’s report statistics and chronology were those classified as international terrorism, defined as attacks that affect nationals and property of more than one nation. This left out attacks that may have taken many lives of citizens of one country and had a major impact on that nation’s economy or perhaps negotiations with other parties. But these attacks were not counted because no nationals other than of the country in which the attack was conducted were killed or wounded. One explanation given by several years ago by CIA officials involved in the US Government’s data bank was the difficulty in verify reports and casualty figures from attacks in some countries, such as the killings by terrorists in rural areas of Algeria and Egypt.
State Department spokesman Sean McCormack told a press briefing last week” if you look back over the past three years, the methodology that the NCTC has used to make these counts has changed. So there is -- you don't have a baseline… technically you could say that there might be a larger number of incidents from one year to another, but it's comparing apples and oranges. You don't have a common baseline. “
The criteria for tabulating terrorist attacks were broadened to include domestic incidents that did not involve foreigners after a brouhaha broke out in May, 2004 following the release of the report for 2003. The State Department’s Patterns report for 2003 asserted that the number of attacks had fallen sharply, and this was highlighted by senior State Department officials as evidence of progress in the war against terrorism. Two university professors took a closer look and charged in a Washington Post op-ed piece that the number of attacks had not gone down. One Congressman, Henry Waxman (D-CA) then charged that the numbers were distorted for political reasons in an election year. The State Department and intelligence agencies re-examined the statistics and issued a correction. It turned out that the overall figures were understated because the data for the last two and a half months of 2003 was dropped somewhere along the line when the data base was transferred from the long-time custodians in the CIA to the new interagency Terrorist Threat Integration Center (TTIC).
Apparently nobody noticed the embarrassing problem when the draft report was being prepared and cleared through the bureaucracy. Cofer Black, then the State Department Coordinator for Counterterrorism, said the errors were the result of “inattention, personnel shortages and a data base that is awkward and is antiquated.” My own impression from the sidelines, (I was retiring from the counterterrorism office at the time and not involved in the report) was that the primary officer working on the report was stretched too thin, also juggling other chores at the time. In addition, the clearance process within the Department was so compartmentalized in an effort to avoid advance leaks that other officers said they saw only the sections that affected their regions and not the overall report or chronologies. Thus limited the additional sets of eyes looking at the complete report in the draft stage.
In the ensuing controversy that followed the State Department, which never had the responsibility for tallying the statistics in the first place, worked out an agreement under which the stats would be released in a separate report by the intelligence agencies.
The controversies did not end there, however. Last April, Larry Johnson, a former counterterrorism office official and alumni of this blog, wrote several items on problems with the upcoming 2004 report. He followed up several times, including a few days before the 2004 report was issued.
An excellent description of the history and controversies surrounded by the report was written recently by Dennis Pluchinsky, a retired State Department terrorism analyst who had been involved in the annual Government report since its first incarnation in 1977 as an unclassified CIA product and provided some of the background for this blog item. Dennis wrote a detailed history and summary of the controversy in “The Evolution of the U.S. Government’s Annual Report on Terrorism: A Personal Commentary,” in January-February studies in Conflict & Terrorism.
Congressional sources say that this year, in an effort to explain the new format of the State Department report and minimize possible controversies, Ambassador Crumpton has been making the rounds on the Hill. Ambassador Crumpton, a former CIA official, was sworn in last August and this will be the first report on his watch. « Close It
Zarqawi Transcript
By Bill Roggio
CENTCOM provides a full transcript of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's videotape, titled "This is a Declaration to the People."
Small Steps in the Campaign Against the Abu Sayyaf
By Zachary Abuza
There have been two recent successes in the long-standing fight against the Abu Sayyaf in the Sulu archipelago in the southern Philippines. On 10 April Philippine troops announced that they killed an Abu Sayyaf commander, Amilhamja Ajijul, who allegedly headed the organization's urban terrorism unit, responsible for the 2005 Valentines Day triple bombings. He was also implicated in an October 2002 bombing in Zamboanga that killed a US Special Forces soldier.
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On 25 April Philippine soldiers arrested Sharie Amiruddin, who helped to execute the May 2001 raid on a diving resort on Palawan Island. Twenty tourists were kidnapped in the raid (including Martin and Gracia Burnham) and an American, Guillermo Sobero, was beheaded. Amiruddin has also been blamed for bomb attacks in three southern cities in 2002, though the evidence against him in these instances is more circumstantial. Police assert that he was planning to execute bombings in malls in Zamboanga during the recent Holy Week holiday. His arrest led authorities to a small Abu Sayyaf safe house and bomb cache.
While these arrests are important, they have not shed significantly more light on the ASG’s relationship to Jemaah Islamiyah or the larger Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). Second, The second and more disturbing question has to do with the ASG’s resiliency, especially in the face of four years of concerted US military assistance to the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). There are currently some 660 US forces in the southern Philippines providing support and training for the Philippine counterparts, who are still hampered by an appalling lack of leadership, resources and institutional frailties. US training, the holding of several “Balikbatan exercises” and the provision of tens of millions of dollars in military assistance in each of the past few years has not led to the group’s defeat. The ASG, if anything has grown into a greater terrorist threat today than it was in 2002. The Philippine constitution and political sensitivities have restricted a greater role for the US military.
There are an estimated 300 members of the ASG who are concentrated in the Islands of Jolo, Basilan and Tawi Tawi. This archipelago has been the primary conduit of members of Jemaah Islamiyah to get to and from Mindanao where they have received sanctuary and training in MILF camps. « Close It
Was Today's Suicide Bombing in Egypt Part of Planned Second Wave? (updated)
By Andrew Cochran
The newswires reported a twin suicide bombing outside of a multinational force base in Egypt, just 10 miles from the Israeli border near Rafah, in which only the suicide bombers died. But an attempt today by terrorists to cross the Karni border with a car bomb, which occurred just prior to the Rafah attack, is raising speculation among Palestinian security forces and in the Israeli press that the two events today were linked. The Karni border attempt was thwarted by Palestinian forces at that point, with an exchange of fire that wounded terrorist and Palestinian security personnel. A "large amount of explosives" were found in that car. "YNet News" reports this: "Palestinian security sources claim that there is a direct connection between the attack in Karni and Rafah. Palestinian security forces began investigating the two incidents, despite the fact that the second terror attack took place on Egyptian territory. A Palestinian source said that the PA was not ruling out the possibility that an extremist terrorist organization - one of al-Qaeda's offspring - is responsible for the two incidents. The source said that Palestinian security forces are continuing to scan the Karni area after the occupants of the vehicle, who escaped." And another "Ynet News" article quotes a "senior IDF official" saying, "We can't rule out that an internal Palestinian conflict may have caused the Palestinians to thwart the attack."
Moreover, "The Jerusalem Post" quotes an Egyptian Interior Ministry official as tying both events today to the Dahab attack: "The people who made the attack in Dahab and this attack are the same people. They are not al-Qaeda. They are Beduin. We don't know if they are all from the north." Another Israeli news source cites Egyptian sources for a report that Egyptian security forces have identified 3 Bedouins, two of whom traveled from Cairo the day before the bombing, as the suicide bombers who carried out Monday's attack.
So, were today's Karni and Rafah events a second wave planned by the Dahab terrorists to occur across the Sinai border against Palestinians and Israelis? UPDATE: The Egyptian Interior Minister goes even further, saying that this week's bombings, including today's events, were linked to the 2005 Sharm el-Sheik and 2004 Taba terror attacks. Quoting: "The information we have indicates that (the perpetrators) are Sinai Bedouin, and the latest operations are linked to the previous attacks."
The six degrees of al-Muhajiroun
By Jeffrey Cozzens
Evan Kohlmann's and Steven Emerson’s posts concerning the recent New York City demonstration of the Islamic Thinkers’ Society call to mind the involvement of other al-Muhajiroun-linked personalities in aiding and abetting the global jihad beyond the oft-discussed British suicide bombers of 2003, Hanif and Sharif. The recent trial in the United Kingdom of a group of British citizens accused of planning attacks in that country in 2004 sheds light on the former al-Muhajiroun’s under-researched and ambiguous role in the global jihad.
Muhammad Babar, a confessed member of UK and NY-based al-Muhajiroun networks since the early 1990’s, convicted al-Qa’ida affiliate and “star” witness in the UK trial, has labeled Omar Bakri Muhammad (OBM), the founder of the UK-based al-Muhajiroun, as one of his primary ideological mentors (the other being Abu Hamza al-Masri). Babar claimed that OBM was instrumental to his decision to emigrate from the United States to Afghanistan after 9/11 with the intent of aiding al-Qa’ida members and fighting against coalition forces. This move was very much in keeping with the ‘Covenant of Security’ theology often discussed by OBM, which stipulates emigration from the West prior to fighting against it.
It was allegedly in an al-Qa’ida-linked camp in Malakand, Pakistan, that Babar met the key defendants of the trial, supposedly aiding them in bomb-making and in attempts to smuggle explosives back into the UK. Interestingly, Babar has been tied to Muhammad Siddique Khan, the apparent ring-leader of the 7/7 London bombings. The sum of this information suggests not only tangential linkages between multiple plots in the United Kingdom but also portrays al-Muhajiroun as both a radicalizing agent, at one extreme, and an overseas logistical facilitator for attacks on the West at the other. Accusations that Omar Bakri Muhammad has started a camp in Lebanon for the further indoctrination of Western converts prior to their repatriation should therefore come as little surprise - and it should receive tremendous scrutiny from Western intelligence communities. Even if indirectly, the former al-Muhajiroun and its off-shoots have aided and abetted the global jihad more than previously believed, and it appears that these continue to do so, if only under different names and in different venues.
The Military & Propaganda Messages in Zarqawi's Tape
By Bill Roggio
Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's 34 minute long video tape not only includes numerous political messages, as Dr. Walid Phares explains; but also contains information on al-Qaeda in Iraq's propaganda and military capabilities. Several of the military and propaganda aspects are covered below:
1) MANPADS. First and foremost, as Evan Kohlmann has noted, some of the terrorists standing guard during the scene in the desert are brandishing shoulder-fired surface to air missiles (MANPADS). While this indicates al-Qaeda in Iraq has this capability, very few Coalition aircraft have been shot down in Iraq. The likelihood here is Zarqawi's 'command element' has top priority in fielding these weapons systems.
2) Zarqawi and company are confident. There are a large number of al-Qaeda gathered in the desert, perhaps fifty to one hundred. Also a flat bed truck is pictured with a machine gun mounted on the back (this weapon system is known as a 'technical'). The location of the desert is unknown, but he is very likely operating far from Coalition forces. The location could be in any desert in Iraq, or possibly Syria, Jordan or Saudi Arabia. al-Qaeda in Iraq certainly was confident U.S. warplanes and surveillance platforms were not in the area.
3) Zarqawi's personal weapons. In each of the three different segments of the tape (speech, planning session, desert) Zarqawi is seen with three different weapons. All of the weapons look either new or well kept. The rifle next to Zarqawi in first scene is an AKSU-74 5.54mm assault rifle used by Russian Spetsnaz, paratroopers, tankers, and helicopter crews. This is the same rifle Osama bin Laden is seen with in his video tapes, and provides additional evidence that Zarqawi is modeling his insurgency after Osama bin Laden's glory days in Soviet Afghanistan, as Dr. Phares and Mr. Kohlmann have stated.
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In second scene Zarqawi brandishes a U.S. made M4 (the carbine version of the M16 assault rifle) with an M203 grenade launcher and what appears to be a night scope (I was unable to identify it). He has two magazines taped back-to-back for fast reload. Also, a standard M16 is in the same footage.
The two different weapons raises some questions: What happened to the ASKU? Does he switch between weapons often? Was the tape taken during the same time period, or over a longer period of time?
The 'vest' Zarqawi is wearing appears to be an ammunition belt, not a suicide vest. There are no visible wires, explosives or a trigger device. The vest Zarqawi is wearing is identical in all scenes. If he is not wearing a suicide vest but really wearing an ammo pouch, is he switching out his magazines from the 5.54mm for the AKSU to the 5.56mm rounds for the M4? Where does he store his grenades for the grenade launcher on the M4?
In the final scene in the desert, Zarqawi shoots an M249 SAW (Squad Automatic Weapon), which is "a lightweight 5.56mm machine gun carried by infantry squads." It appears he is using the 200 round drum magazine. Zarqawi does not appear particularly comfortable firing the weapon.
Zarqawi is clearly using the weapons as props in his propaganda film. He wants the audience to believe the weapons were seized from U.S. soldiers and Marines, and are carried as war trophies, just as the ancient Greeks sought to bear the arms of their enemies conquered in battle.
al-Qaeda in Iraq could have purchased the U.S. weapons on the black market. Iraq is awash with illicit weapons. While I was in country, the Master Gunnery Sargent from Regimental Combat Team - 2, 2nd Marine Division showed me numerous exotic weapons the Marines in RCT-2 captured from insurgents. One weapon was a 1938 Mauser with an original swastika stamped on the barrel, and was worth tens of thousands of dollars. There were British Stens, Belgian pistols from the late 19th Century, and a host of other treasures.

4) The 'rockets' launched in the desert, which are shown throughout the film, are crude weapons at best. They are fuse-lit, point, fire and forget weapons with little capacity for guidance. Mortars would have a greater effect. An anonymous military source provides more detail on the rockets:
The pencil [rocket] that was shown in the Zarqawi footage caught me by surprise. [You] are correct about its capabilities its a strange weapon. It was known as the Alazan 5 a former Soviet weather rocket in which the Chechen's modified as a surface to surface missile. Attached is an old picture of the rocket. I noted the launch rail was different but that was indeed the Alazan 5. There were many missing from Moldova and we had reports of five warheads that were modified as RDDs also missing.
5) The briefing. Zarqawi goes a long way to show he is the military planner and tactical commander. He pours over maps with four other masked terrorists. In one section of the tape, he appears to be pointing at the region around the city of Kirkuk. But remember that this scene, as all the others, were planned through in advance. Zarqawi knows U.S. intelligence will be thoroughly dissecting this tape, and may want to throw the Coalition off of his scent.
6) Zarqawi is shown leading the planning session, but there is no video of him actually leading and conducting a strike. If he is leading from the front, the footage was left on the cutting floor. « Close It
Notes on the New Zarqawi Video
By Evan Kohlmann
In the last few weeks, the sudden silence from Al-Qaida in Iraq gave rise to a wave of wild speculation over the whereabouts and condition of most wanted Jordanian terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Comments from the son of Dr. Abdullah Azzam in Jordan--along with other similar rumors--caused some to doubt whether Zarqawi was still in charge. Today, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi issued his response to those skeptics, in the form of his first ever videotaped message carried to the world via the Internet. Aside from the content of Zarqawi's speech, there were a number of other important aspects to this video:
1.) Though Zarqawi refers frequently to his new coalition with Iraqi jihadists known as the Mujahideen Shura Council (MSC), he nonetheless continues to identify himself as chief of "Al-Qaida's network in Mesopotamia." This is a further indication of how the MSC is more or less a pr |