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Terror Threat to India in DNI Assessment: Too Little, Too GeneralBy Animesh Roul
U.S. Director of National Intelligence Michael McConnell in his assessment very rightly warned his government on the terrorist threats and Al-Qaeda's growing capability inside the safe havens of Pakistan's tribal area. He was briefing the U.S. Select Senate Committee on Intelligence on an unclassified version of the Annual Threat Assessment. McConnell also warned future attacks by 'homegrown' extremists inspired by military Islamic ideology will remain a threat to the United States or against US interests overseas. While briefing various geographical locations where these threats could emanate particularly against US interests, he missed India and Bangladesh, where most of the future recruits will come to the terror fold. Of course he indicated that Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Kashmir-focused insurgent groups will continue to plan and execute attacks in India: " .. Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Tayyiba (LT) and other Kashmir-focused groups will continue attack planning and execution in India. Shia and Hindu religious observances are possible targets, as are transportation networks and government buildings."Although McConnell briefed about Pakistan and the threat of terrorism there at length in this 47-page document, India received very little mention with "very general" observations on terrorist threats (leave aside Bangladesh: there is no single mention of this country, where Taliban and Osama have a mass following). Islamic terrorist groups (Pakistan-based) like LeT, Jaish-e-Muhammed and Al Badr are no longer centered around Kashmir and they have already spread tentacles around the country, down south especially. Kashmir is no longer their "focus" now. Recent terror strikes in the cities of Uttar Pradesh and Andhra Pradesh and the unearthing of terror cells from Karnataka and Kerala give enough evidence of their agenda. Looking at the threat they pose to India and the region, one can't ignore the hydra-headed "Islamic terrorism." Instead of just LeT, the assessment could have briefed Harkat-ul-Jihadi Islami (HuJi) as the present threat to Indian internal security and yes, the outfit has Pakistan, Afghanistan and Bangladesh connections. It is not only India's internal security alone, it's also for the US interests stationed here. There is no denying the fact that LeT and the suspected terror conglomerate (that includes Jaish, Al Badr, HuJi) will be assisting pro-Taliban/Al Qaeda affiliates in Afghanistan and elsewhere. To me, this report fails to arouse debate or deliberation within the CT community focusing on South Asia. Of course it has one sentence on the subcontinetal nuclear issue (they - India and Pakistan - do not appear to be engaged in a Cold War-style arms race for numerical superiority) that could trigger enough discussions and brainstorming in this region.
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