On Reports of Infighting Within the Awakening Movement
By Daveed Gartenstein-Ross
Yesterday I noted that Sterling Jensen, who has been providing excellent translations and analysis for the Voices of the Awakening series, would be addressing recent media reports of infighting within the Iraqi Awakening movement, as well as conflict between the Awakening and the government of Iraq. (See, for example, this Sept. 23 UPI report). Today he has authored an intelligence briefing for FDD's Center for Terrorism Research addressing the distinction between the two major Awakening initiatives. An excerpt:
These media reports tend to blur the distinction between two main
Awakening initiatives, one Iraqi and the other American. Understanding
the differences between the two, and their relationship with the
Government of Iraq (GOI), is important to adequately assess their
impact on security.
THE IRAQI AWAKENING. The Awakening credited for
the decrease in violence in Iraq began as an Iraqi initiative that was
supported by the GOI. In mid-2006 the Anbar Awakening, led by Sheikh
Abdul Sattar Abu Risha, was an Iraqi attempt to create an emergency
provincial government to replace the one that had been undermined by
al-Qaeda and insurgents. In doing so, the Anbar Awakening promoted
Iraqi police and Iraqi army recruitment, and worked closely with both
Iraqi and coalition forces in bringing security to the province. While
the Anbar Awakening did not succeed in creating an emergency
government, it was partially integrated into the existing provincial
government, and established a relationship with the GOI....
THE SONS OF IRAQ. The other initiative, which is
actually the group being discussed in a large portion of media
coverage, was led by coalition forces in mid-2007 as an attempt to copy
and paste the success of the Anbar Awakening into Sunni areas of
Baghdad, Salahideen and Diyala. This American initiative became known
as the Sons of Iraq program--where basically marginalized Sunnis,
including former insurgents, were recruited, equipped and paid by the
Americans, and called Concerned Local Citizens (CLCs). CLCs manned
security posts and worked with coalition forces in security operations.
CLCs were basically coalition forces employees, and most had little
contact with the Government of Iraq. Many of these CLCs informally
organized themselves, and were later called Awakening councils.
However, these Awakening councils were not necessarily affiliated with
the Anbar Awakening. Some of these Awakening councils had no intention
of reconciling with the GOI; as a result, the GOI has been cautious to
fully integrate them into the Iraqi security forces....
WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT? Saying that the GOI has
bad relations with the Awakening, and that this threatens its
successes, is misleading. While the Sons of Iraq program employs nearly
100,000 CLCs whose jobs may be in jeopardy once the GOI takes over the
program, this has little bearing on the GOI's relationship with the
Awakening. It is true that the Iraqi Awakening and other Sunni
politicians are trying ensure that the CLCs be given adequate
employment opportunities, whether in security or public service, as
they transfer from the American to the Iraqi payroll. But the Iraqi
Awakening and other Sunni parties are doing so largely out of a desire
to gain constituents, rather trying to defend themselves from a GOI
threat to the Awakening's existence.
For Jensen's entire intelligence briefing, click
here.
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